Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.572767 11.074797 12.685173 14.534385 16.593242 18.809162 21.368397
2025-06-29 7.725827 9.691116 11.930707 14.652136 17.848987 21.464202 25.839636
2025-07-06 6.487703 8.719522 11.396568 14.803673 18.980936 23.890624 30.048981
2025-07-13 5.697740 8.133728 11.187606 15.228963 20.362065 26.586816 34.620486
2025-07-20 5.027224 7.587668 10.929580 15.509313 21.509856 28.986248 38.873152
2025-07-27 4.382021 6.980508 10.505479 15.497374 22.228803 30.825682 42.446758
2025-08-03 3.657666 6.165867 9.707171 14.892784 22.090048 31.509380 44.518761
2025-08-10 3.166924 5.626015 9.227460 14.662365 22.401121 32.748423 47.308158
2025-08-17 2.723159 5.100029 8.710295 14.321667 22.511740 33.688941 49.696159
2025-08-24 2.386186 4.700104 8.337830 14.149146 22.825751 34.889060 52.441611
2025-08-31 2.059437 4.274813 7.883004 13.809458 22.861030 35.679252 54.622928
2025-09-07 1.860705 4.044890 7.713645 13.885119 23.494344 37.314518 58.006307
2025-09-14 1.649268 3.768142 7.446036 13.790083 23.867997 38.595349 60.940904
2025-09-21 1.506133 3.600354 7.344463 13.948220 24.625079 40.446122 64.729347
2025-09-28 1.379544 3.448064 7.254354 14.113473 25.391171 42.324055 68.597353
2025-10-05 1.302675 3.385861 7.316413 14.531446 26.565535 44.836680 73.446693
2025-10-12 1.212643 3.284511 7.297328 14.805222 27.513003 47.027294 77.868143
2025-10-19 1.095223 3.108235 7.123092 14.795313 27.992451 48.510898 81.266420
2025-10-26 0.925026 2.787973 6.644842 14.213484 27.496196 48.465749 82.356597
2025-11-02 0.813764 2.586635 6.378563 13.991805 27.582986 49.318410 84.812576
2025-11-09 0.705203 2.373543 6.067487 13.663778 27.467178 49.837523 86.757800
2025-11-16 0.623386 2.214229 5.851613 13.497684 27.616972 50.775282 89.361047
2025-11-23 0.538059 2.029674 5.563190 13.170618 27.464411 51.211784 91.181486